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Lots of Ink: The trees of the American west are dying faster – even where beetles and fires are not the reason

A press teleconference, at least five press releases, a big set of pictures, and publication in Science Magazine helped boost coverage of a story that’d likely be news in any case: the forests of America’s west are slowly thinning almost everywhere that scientists have looked. At least, wherever a team from the US Geological Survey, US Dept. of Agriculture, and several universities found data in “non-managed” which means wilderness forests it almost always showed a rise – on average a doubling – in the last half century in the death rate. It’s happening at low elevations and high, and among many species. Drought, heat stress, shorter rainy seasons, less snow, pests, and other factors consistent with climate warming are the suspects, it says here. In most plots “recruitment,” or in plain English appearance of new seedlings, now falls short of mortality. The basic look of the landscape is changing even where far from farms, ranchland, and cities. This, one thinks, is how the Anthropocene, the (unofficial – for now) epoch of human-caused geological change, takes over from the post-glacial Holocene.

This is a good chance, one further thinks, for reporters to ask in follow ups what’s next, what new species might come in, what are some plausible new quasi-equilibria for landcover? How will wildlife react? One hears, for instance, that the classic sage brush landscape of the Great Basin might shrink radically, that junipers in many places are spreading, etc. What’s that about.? How about saguaro? So many angles to pursue.

Stories:

Grist for the Mill:

USGS Press Release  ; Oregon St. U. Press Release ; U. Colorado Press Release ; Northern Arizona U. Press Release ; U. Washington Press Release (pic source) ;

-CP

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